Discovery and systematic characterization of risk variants and genes for coronary artery disease in over a million participants

Funding Information: T. Kessler is supported by the Corona-Foundation (Junior Research Group Translational Cardiovascular Genomics) and the German Research Foundation (DFG) as part of the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB 1123 (B02). T.J. was supported by a Medical Research Council DTP studentship (MR/S502443/1). J.D. is a British Heart Foundation Professor, European Research Council Senior Investigator, and National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Senior Investigator. J.C.H. acknowledges personal funding from the British Heart Foundation (FS/14/55/30806) and is a member of the Oxford BHF Centre of Research Excellence (RE/13/1/30181). R.C. has received funding from the British Heart Foundation and British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence. O.G. has received funding from the British Heart Foundation (BHF) (FS/14/66/3129). P.S.d.V. was supported by American Heart Association grant number 18CDA34110116 and National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grant R01HL146860. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study has been funded in whole or in part with Federal funds from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services (contract HHSN268201700001I, HHSN268201700002I, HHSN268201700003I, HHSN268201700004I and HHSN268201700005I), R01HL087641, R01HL059367 and R01HL086694; National Human Genome Research Institute contract U01HG004402; and National Institutes of Health contract HHSN268200625226C. We thank the staff and participants of the ARIC study for their important contributions. Infrastructure was partly supported by grant UL1RR025005, a component of the National Institutes of Health and NIH Roadmap for Medical Research. The Trøndelag Health Study (The HUNT Study) is a collaboration between HUNT Research Centre (Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology), Trøndelag County Council, Central Norway Regional Health Authority and the Norwegian Institute of Public Health. The K.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology is financed by Stiftelsen Kristian Gerhard Jebsen; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology; and Central Norway Regional Health Authority. Whole genome sequencing for the HUNT study was funded by HL109946. The GerMIFs gratefully acknowledge the support of the Bavarian State Ministry of Health and Care, furthermore founded this work within its framework of DigiMed Bayern (grant DMB-1805-0001), the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) within the framework of ERA-NET on Cardiovascular Disease (Druggable-MI-genes, 01KL1802), within the scheme of target validation (BlockCAD, 16GW0198K), within the framework of the e:Med research and funding concept (AbCD-Net, 01ZX1706C), the British Heart Foundation (BHF)/German Centre of Cardiovascular Research (DZHK)-collaboration (VIAgenomics) and the German Research Foundation (DFG) as part of the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB 1123 (B02), the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB TRR 267 (B05), and EXC2167 (PMI). This work was supported by the British Heart Foundation (BHF) under grant RG/14/5/30893 (P.D.) and forms part of the research themes contributing to the translational research portfolios of the Barts Biomedical Research Centre funded by the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). I.S. is supported by a Precision Health Scholars Award from the University of Michigan Medical School. This work was supported by the European Commission (HEALTH-F2–2013-601456) and the TriPartite Immunometabolism Consortium (TrIC)-NovoNordisk Foundation (NNF15CC0018486), VIAgenomics (SP/19/2/344612), the British Heart Foundation, a Wellcome Trust core award (203141/Z/16/Z to M.F. and H.W.) and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. M.F. and H.W. are members of the Oxford BHF Centre of Research Excellence (RE/13/1/30181). The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health. C.P.N. and T.R.W. received funding from the British Heart Foundation (SP/16/4/32697). C.J.W. is funded by NIH grant R35-HL135824. B.N.W. is supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Program (DGE, 1256260). This research was supported by BHF (SP/13/2/30111) and conducted using the UK Biobank Resource (application 9922). O.M. was funded by the Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, the Swedish Research Council, the European Research Council ERC-AdG-2019-885003 and Lund University Infrastructure grant ‘Malmö population-based cohorts’ (STYR 2019/2046). T.R.W. is funded by the British Heart Foundation. I.K., S. Koyama, and K. Ito are funded by the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED, under grants JP16ek0109070h0003, JP18kk0205008h0003, JP18kk0205001s0703, JP20km0405209 and JP20ek0109487. The Biobank Japan is supported by AMED under grant JP20km0605001. J.L.M.B. acknowledges research support from NIH R01HL125863, American Heart Association (A14SFRN20840000), the Swedish Research Council (2018-02529) and Heart Lung Foundation (20170265) and the Foundation Leducq (PlaqueOmics: New Roles of Smooth Muscle and Other Matrix Producing Cells in Atherosclerotic Plaque Stability and Rupture, 18CVD02. A.V.K. has been funded by grant 1K08HG010155 from the National Human Genome Research Institute. K.G.A. has received support from the American Heart Association Institute for Precision Cardiovascular Medicine (17IFUNP3384001), a KL2/Catalyst Medical Research Investigator Training (CMeRIT) award from the Harvard Catalyst (KL2 TR002542) and the NIH (1K08HL153937). A.S.B. has been supported by funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia (APP2002375). D.S.A. has received support from a training grant from the NIH (T32HL007604). N.P.B., M.C.C., J.F. and D.-K.J. have been funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (2UM1DK105554). EPIC-CVD was funded by the European Research Council (268834) and the European Commission Framework Programme 7 (HEALTH-F2-2012-279233). The coordinating center was supported by core funding from the UK Medical Research Council (G0800270; MR/L003120/1), British Heart Foundation (SP/09/002, RG/13/13/30194, RG/18/13/33946) and NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. This work was supported by Health Data Research UK, which is funded by the UK Medical Research Council, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, Economic and Social Research Council, Department of Health and Social Care (England), Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorates, Health and Social Care Research and Development Division (Welsh Government), Public Health Agency (Northern Ireland), British Heart Foundation and Wellcome. Support for title page creation and format was provided by AuthorArranger, a tool developed at the National Cancer Institute. Funding Information: T. Kessler is supported by the Corona-Foundation (Junior Research Group Translational Cardiovascular Genomics) and the German Research Foundation (DFG) as part of the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB 1123 (B02). T.J. was supported by a Medical Research Council DTP studentship (MR/S502443/1). J.D. is a British Heart Foundation Professor, European Research Council Senior Investigator, and National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Senior Investigator. J.C.H. acknowledges personal funding from the British Heart Foundation (FS/14/55/30806) and is a member of the Oxford BHF Centre of Research Excellence (RE/13/1/30181). R.C. has received funding from the British Heart Foundation and British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence. O.G. has received funding from the British Heart Foundation (BHF) (FS/14/66/3129). P.S.d.V. was supported by American Heart Association grant number 18CDA34110116 and National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grant R01HL146860. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study has been funded in whole or in part with Federal funds from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services (contract HHSN268201700001I, HHSN268201700002I, HHSN268201700003I, HHSN268201700004I and HHSN268201700005I), R01HL087641, R01HL059367 and R01HL086694; National Human Genome Research Institute contract U01HG004402; and National Institutes of Health contract HHSN268200625226C. We thank the staff and participants of the ARIC study for their important contributions. Infrastructure was partly supported by grant UL1RR025005, a component of the National Institutes of Health and NIH Roadmap for Medical Research. The Trøndelag Health Study (The HUNT Study) is a collaboration between HUNT Research Centre (Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology), Trøndelag County Council, Central Norway Regional Health Authority and the Norwegian Institute of Public Health. The K.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology is financed by Stiftelsen Kristian Gerhard Jebsen; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology; and Central Norway Regional Health Authority. Whole genome sequencing for the HUNT study was funded by HL109946. The GerMIFs gratefully acknowledge the support of the Bavarian State Ministry of Health and Care, furthermore founded this work within its framework of DigiMed Bayern (grant DMB-1805-0001), the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) within the framework of ERA-NET on Cardiovascular Disease (Druggable-MI-genes, 01KL1802), within the scheme of target validation (BlockCAD, 16GW0198K), within the framework of the e:Med research and funding concept (AbCD-Net, 01ZX1706C), the British Heart Foundation (BHF)/German Centre of Cardiovascular Research (DZHK)-collaboration (VIAgenomics) and the German Research Foundation (DFG) as part of the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB 1123 (B02), the Sonderforschungsbereich SFB TRR 267 (B05), and EXC2167 (PMI). This work was supported by the British Heart Foundation (BHF) under grant RG/14/5/30893 (P.D.) and forms part of the research themes contributing to the translational research portfolios of the Barts Biomedical Research Centre funded by the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). I.S. is supported by a Precision Health Scholars Award from the University of Michigan Medical School. This work was supported by the European Commission (HEALTH-F2–2013-601456) and the TriPartite Immunometabolism Consortium (TrIC)-NovoNordisk Foundation (NNF15CC0018486), VIAgenomics (SP/19/2/344612), the British Heart Foundation, a Wellcome Trust core award (203141/Z/16/Z to M.F. and H.W.) and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. M.F. and H.W. are members of the Oxford BHF Centre of Research Excellence (RE/13/1/30181). The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health. C.P.N. and T.R.W. received funding from the British Heart Foundation (SP/16/4/32697). C.J.W. is funded by NIH grant R35-HL135824. B.N.W. is supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Program (DGE, 1256260). This research was supported by BHF (SP/13/2/30111) and conducted using the UK Biobank Resource (application 9922). O.M. was funded by the Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, the Swedish Research Council, the European Research Council ERC-AdG-2019-885003 and Lund University Infrastructure grant ‘Malmö population-based cohorts’ (STYR 2019/2046). T.R.W. is funded by the British Heart Foundation. I.K., S. Koyama, and K. Ito are funded by the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED, under grants JP16ek0109070h0003, JP18kk0205008h0003, JP18kk0205001s0703, JP20km0405209 and JP20ek0109487. The Biobank Japan is supported by AMED under grant JP20km0605001. J.L.M.B. acknowledges research support from NIH R01HL125863, American Heart Association (A14SFRN20840000), the Swedish Research Council (2018-02529) and Heart Lung Foundation (20170265) and the Foundation Leducq (PlaqueOmics: New Roles of Smooth Muscle and Other Matrix Producing Cells in Atherosclerotic Plaque Stability and Rupture, 18CVD02. A.V.K. has been funded by grant 1K08HG010155 from the National Human Genome Research Institute. K.G.A. has received support from the American Heart Association Institute for Precision Cardiovascular Medicine (17IFUNP3384001), a KL2/Catalyst Medical Research Investigator Training (CMeRIT) award from the Harvard Catalyst (KL2 TR002542) and the NIH (1K08HL153937). A.S.B. has been supported by funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia (APP2002375). D.S.A. has received support from a training grant from the NIH (T32HL007604). N.P.B., M.C.C., J.F. and D.-K.J. have been funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (2UM1DK105554). EPIC-CVD was funded by the European Research Council (268834) and the European Commission Framework Programme 7 (HEALTH-F2-2012-279233). The coordinating center was supported by core funding from the UK Medical Research Council (G0800270; MR/L003120/1), British Heart Foundation (SP/09/002, RG/13/13/30194, RG/18/13/33946) and NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. This work was supported by Health Data Research UK, which is funded by the UK Medical Research Council, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, Economic and Social Research Council, Department of Health and Social Care (England), Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorates, Health and Social Care Research and Development Division (Welsh Government), Public Health Agency (Northern Ireland), British Heart Foundation and Wellcome. Support for title page creation and format was provided by AuthorArranger, a tool developed at the National Cancer Institute. Publisher Copyright: © 2022, The Author(s).The discovery of genetic loci associated with complex diseases has outpaced the elucidation of mechanisms of disease pathogenesis. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) comprising 181,522 cases among 1,165,690 participants of predominantly European ancestry. We detected 241 associations, including 30 new loci. Cross-ancestry meta-analysis with a Japanese GWAS yielded 38 additional new loci. We prioritized likely causal variants using functionally informed fine-mapping, yielding 42 associations with less than five variants in the 95% credible set. Similarity-based clustering suggested roles for early developmental processes, cell cycle signaling and vascular cell migration and proliferation in the pathogenesis of CAD. We prioritized 220 candidate causal genes, combining eight complementary approaches, including 123 supported by three or more approaches. Using CRISPR–Cas9, we experimentally validated the effect of an enhancer in MYO9B, which appears to mediate CAD risk by regulating vascular cell motility. Our analysis identifies and systematically characterizes >250 risk loci for CAD to inform experimental interrogation of putative causal mechanisms for CAD.Peer reviewe

Network Mendelian randomization: using genetic variants as instrumental variables to investigate mediation in causal pathways

Background: Mendelian randomization uses genetic variants, assumed to be instrumental variables for a particular exposure, to estimate the causal effect of that exposure on an outcome. If the instrumental variable criteria are satisfied, the resulting estimator is consistent even in the presence of unmeasured confounding and reverse causation. Methods: We extend the Mendelian randomization paradigm to investigate more complex networks of relationships between variables, in particular where some of the effect of an exposure on the outcome may operate through an intermediate variable (a mediator). If instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator are available, direct and indirect effects of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated, for example using either a regression-based method or structural equation models. The direction of effect between the exposure and a possible mediator can also be assessed. Methods are illustrated in an applied example considering causal relationships between body mass index, C-reactive protein and uric acid. Results: These estimators are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding if, in addition to the instrumental variable assumptions, the effects of both the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals and linear without interactions. Nevertheless, a simulation study demonstrates that even considerable heterogeneity in these effects does not lead to bias in the estimates. Conclusions: These methods can be used to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in a mediation setting, and have potential for the investigation of more complex networks between multiple interrelated exposures and disease outcomes

Network Mendelian randomization: using genetic variants as instrumental variables to investigate mediation in causal pathways.

BACKGROUND: Mendelian randomization uses genetic variants, assumed to be instrumental variables for a particular exposure, to estimate the causal effect of that exposure on an outcome. If the instrumental variable criteria are satisfied, the resulting estimator is consistent even in the presence of unmeasured confounding and reverse causation. METHODS: We extend the Mendelian randomization paradigm to investigate more complex networks of relationships between variables, in particular where some of the effect of an exposure on the outcome may operate through an intermediate variable (a mediator). If instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator are available, direct and indirect effects of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated, for example using either a regression-based method or structural equation models. The direction of effect between the exposure and a possible mediator can also be assessed. Methods are illustrated in an applied example considering causal relationships between body mass index, C-reactive protein and uric acid. RESULTS: These estimators are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding if, in addition to the instrumental variable assumptions, the effects of both the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals and linear without interactions. Nevertheless, a simulation study demonstrates that even considerable heterogeneity in these effects does not lead to bias in the estimates. CONCLUSIONS: These methods can be used to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in a mediation setting, and have potential for the investigation of more complex networks between multiple interrelated exposures and disease outcomes

Using published data in Mendelian randomization: a blueprint for efficient identification of causal risk factors.

Finding individual-level data for adequately-powered Mendelian randomization analyses may be problematic. As publicly-available summarized data on genetic associations with disease outcomes from large consortia are becoming more abundant, use of published data is an attractive analysis strategy for obtaining precise estimates of the causal effects of risk factors on outcomes. We detail the necessary steps for conducting Mendelian randomization investigations using published data, and present novel statistical methods for combining data on the associations of multiple (correlated or uncorrelated) genetic variants with the risk factor and outcome into a single causal effect estimate. A two-sample analysis strategy may be employed, in which evidence on the gene-risk factor and gene-outcome associations are taken from different data sources. These approaches allow the efficient identification of risk factors that are suitable targets for clinical intervention from published data, although the ability to assess the assumptions necessary for causal inference is diminished. Methods and guidance are illustrated using the example of the causal effect of serum calcium levels on fasting glucose concentrations. The estimated causal effect of a 1 standard deviation (0.13 mmol/L) increase in calcium levels on fasting glucose (mM) using a single lead variant from the CASR gene region is 0.044 (95 % credible interval -0.002, 0.100). In contrast, using our method to account for the correlation between variants, the corresponding estimate using 17 genetic variants is 0.022 (95 % credible interval 0.009, 0.035), a more clearly positive causal effect.We thank all EPIC participants and staff for their contribution to the study. We thank staff from the Technical, Field Epidemiology and Data Functional Group Teams of the MRC Epidemiology Unit in Cambridge, UK, for carrying out sample preparation, DNA provision and quality control, genotyping and data-handling work. Funding for the biomarker measurements in the random subcohort was provided by grants to EPIC-InterAct from the European Community Framework Programme 6 (Integrated Project LSHM-CT-2006-037197) and to EPIC-Heart from the Medical Research Council and British Heart Foundation (Joint Award G0800270). Stephen Burgess is supported by the Wellcome Trust (Grant Number 100114). Simon G. Thompson is supported by the British Heart Foundation (Grant Number CH/12/2/29428). No specific funding was received for the writing of this manuscript.This is the final version of the article. It first appeared from Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10654-015-0011-

Instrumental variable analysis with a nonlinear exposure-outcome relationship.

BACKGROUND: Instrumental variable methods can estimate the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome using observational data. Many instrumental variable methods assume that the exposure-outcome relation is linear, but in practice this assumption is often in doubt, or perhaps the shape of the relation is a target for investigation. We investigate this issue in the context of Mendelian randomization, the use of genetic variants as instrumental variables. METHODS: Using simulations, we demonstrate the performance of a simple linear instrumental variable method when the true shape of the exposure-outcome relation is not linear. We also present a novel method for estimating the effect of the exposure on the outcome within strata of the exposure distribution. This enables the estimation of localized average causal effects within quantile groups of the exposure or as a continuous function of the exposure using a sliding window approach. RESULTS: Our simulations suggest that linear instrumental variable estimates approximate a population-averaged causal effect. This is the average difference in the outcome if the exposure for every individual in the population is increased by a fixed amount. Estimates of localized average causal effects reveal the shape of the exposure-outcome relation for a variety of models. These methods are used to investigate the relations between body mass index and a range of cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Nonlinear exposure-outcome relations should not be a barrier to instrumental variable analyses. When the exposure-outcome relation is not linear, either a population-averaged causal effect or the shape of the exposure-outcome relation can be estimated.The EPIC-InterAct study received funding from the European Union (Integrated Project LSHM-CT-2006-037197 in the Framework Programme 6 of the European Community).This is the final published version. It first appeared at http://journals.lww.com/epidem/pages/articleviewer.aspx?year=2014&issue=11000&article=00014&type=abstract

A method making fewer assumptions gave the most reliable estimates of exposure-outcome associations in stratified case-cohort studies.

OBJECTIVE: A case-cohort study is an efficient epidemiological study design for estimating exposure-outcome associations. When sampling of the subcohort is stratified, several methods of analysis are possible, but it is unclear how they compare. Our objective was to compare five analysis methods using Cox regression for this type of data, ranging from a crude model that ignores the stratification to a flexible one that allows nonproportional hazards and varying covariate effects across the strata. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We applied the five methods to estimate the association between physical activity and incident type 2 diabetes using data from a stratified case-cohort study and also used artificial data sets to exemplify circumstances in which they can give different results. RESULTS: In the diabetes study, all methods except the method that ignores the stratification gave similar results for the hazard ratio associated with physical activity. In the artificial data sets, the more flexible methods were shown to be necessary when certain assumptions of the simpler models failed. The most flexible method gave reliable results for all the artificial data sets. CONCLUSION: The most flexible method is computationally straightforward, and appropriate whether or not key assumptions made by the simpler models are valid.EJ, MJS and SGT were supported in part by the UK Medical Research Council and the British Heart Foundation. SJS was supported by the UK Medical Research Council [Unit Programme number MC_UU_12015/1]. The EPIC-InterAct study was funded by the EU FP6 programme (LSHM_CT_2006_037197).This is the final version of the article. It was first available from Elsevier via http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.04.00

Stroke genetics informs drug discovery and risk prediction across ancestries

Daniel Strbian työryhmän jäsenenä Correction; Early Access DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05492-5 Early Access: NOV 2022Previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of stroke - the second leading cause of death worldwide - were conducted predominantly in populations of European ancestry(1,2). Here, in cross-ancestry GWAS meta-analyses of 110,182 patients who have had a stroke (five ancestries, 33% non-European) and 1,503,898 control individuals, we identify association signals for stroke and its subtypes at 89 (61 new) independent loci: 60 in primary inverse-variance-weighted analyses and 29 in secondary meta-regression and multitrait analyses. On the basis of internal cross-ancestry validation and an independent follow-up in 89,084 additional cases of stroke (30% non-European) and 1,013,843 control individuals, 87% of the primary stroke risk loci and 60% of the secondary stroke risk loci were replicated (P < 0.05). Effect sizes were highly correlated across ancestries. Cross-ancestry fine-mapping, in silico mutagenesis analysis(3), and transcriptome-wide and proteome-wide association analyses revealed putative causal genes (such as SH3PXD2A and FURIN) and variants (such as at GRK5 and NOS3). Using a three-pronged approach(4), we provide genetic evidence for putative drug effects, highlighting F11, KLKB1, PROC, GP1BA, LAMC2 and VCAM1 as possible targets, with drugs already under investigation for stroke for F11 and PROC. A polygenic score integrating cross-ancestry and ancestry-specific stroke GWASs with vascular-risk factor GWASs (integrative polygenic scores) strongly predicted ischaemic stroke in populations of European, East Asian and African ancestry(5). Stroke genetic risk scores were predictive of ischaemic stroke independent of clinical risk factors in 52,600 clinical-trial participants with cardiometabolic disease. Our results provide insights to inform biology, reveal potential drug targets and derive genetic risk prediction tools across ancestries.Peer reviewe

Ontogeny of plasma cytokine and chemokine concentrations across the first week of human life.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND & AIMS: Early life is marked by distinct and rapidly evolving immunity and increased susceptibility to infection. The vulnerability of the newborn reflects development of a complex immune system in the face of rapidly changing demands during the transition to extra-uterine life. Cytokines and chemokines contribute to this dynamic immune signaling network and can be altered by many factors, such as infection. Newborns undergo dynamic changes important to health and disease, yet there is limited information regarding human neonatal plasma cytokine and chemokine concentrations over the first week of life. The few available studies are limited by small sample size, cross-sectional study design, or focus on perturbed host states like severe infection or prematurity. To characterize immune ontogeny among healthy full-term newborns, we assessed plasma cytokine and chemokine concentrations across the first week of life in a robust longitudinal cohort of healthy, full-term African newborns. METHODS: We analyzed a subgroup of a cohort of healthy newborns at the Medical Research Council Unit in The Gambia (West Africa; N = 608). Peripheral blood plasma was collected from all study participants at birth (day of life (DOL) 0) and at one follow-up time point at DOL 1, 3, or 7. Plasma cytokine and chemokine concentrations were measured by bead-based cytokine multiplex assay. Unsupervised clustering was used to identify patterns in plasma cytokine and chemokine ontogeny during early life. RESULTS: We observed an increase across the first week of life in plasma Th1 cytokines such as IFNγ and CXCL10 and a decrease in Th2 and anti-inflammatory cytokines such as IL-6 and IL-10, and chemokines such as CXCL8. In contrast, other cytokines and chemokines (e.g. IL-4 and CCL5, respectively) remained unchanged during the first week of life. This robust ontogenetic pattern did not appear to be affected by gestational age or sex. CONCLUSIONS: Ontogeny is a strong driver of newborn plasma-based levels of cytokines and chemokines throughout the first week of life with a rising IFNγ axis suggesting post-natal upregulation of host defense pathways. Our study will prove useful to the design and interpretation of future studies aimed at understanding the neonatal immune system during health and disease

Associations between Potentially Modifiable Risk Factors and Alzheimer Disease: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: Potentially modifiable risk factors including obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and smoking are associated with Alzheimer disease (AD) and represent promising targets for intervention. However, the causality of these associations is unclear. We sought to assess the causal nature of these associations using Mendelian randomization (MR). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We used SNPs associated with each risk factor as instrumental variables in MR analyses. We considered type 2 diabetes (T2D, NSNPs = 49), fasting glucose (NSNPs = 36), insulin resistance (NSNPs = 10), body mass index (BMI, NSNPs = 32), total cholesterol (NSNPs = 73), HDL-cholesterol (NSNPs = 71), LDL-cholesterol (NSNPs = 57), triglycerides (NSNPs = 39), systolic blood pressure (SBP, NSNPs = 24), smoking initiation (NSNPs = 1), smoking quantity (NSNPs = 3), university completion (NSNPs = 2), and years of education (NSNPs = 1). We calculated MR estimates of associations between each exposure and AD risk using an inverse-variance weighted approach, with summary statistics of SNP-AD associations from the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project, comprising a total of 17,008 individuals with AD and 37,154 cognitively normal elderly controls. We found that genetically predicted higher SBP was associated with lower AD risk (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation [15.4 mm Hg] of SBP [95% CI]: 0.75 [0.62-0.91]; p = 3.4 × 10(-3)). Genetically predicted higher SBP was also associated with a higher probability of taking antihypertensive medication (p = 6.7 × 10(-8)). Genetically predicted smoking quantity was associated with lower AD risk (OR per ten cigarettes per day [95% CI]: 0.67 [0.51-0.89]; p = 6.5 × 10(-3)), although we were unable to stratify by smoking history; genetically predicted smoking initiation was not associated with AD risk (OR = 0.70 [0.37, 1.33]; p = 0.28). We saw no evidence of causal associations between glycemic traits, T2D, BMI, or educational attainment and risk of AD (all p > 0.1). Potential limitations of this study include the small proportion of intermediate trait variance explained by genetic variants and other implicit limitations of MR analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Inherited lifetime exposure to higher SBP is associated with lower AD risk. These findings suggest that higher blood pressure--or some environmental exposure associated with higher blood pressure, such as use of antihypertensive medications--may reduce AD risk.We thank the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project (IGAP) for providing summary results data for these analyses. The investigators within IGAP contributed to the design and implementation of IGAP and/or provided data but did not participate in analysis or writing of this report. IGAP was made possible by the generous participation of the control subjects, the patients, and their families. The i–Select chips were funded by the French National Foundation on Alzheimer's disease and related disorders. EADI was supported by the LABEX (laboratory of excellence program investment for the future) DISTALZ grant, Inserm, Institut Pasteur de Lille, Université de Lille 2 and the Lille University Hospital. GERAD was supported by the Medical Research Council (Grant n° 503480), Alzheimer's Research UK (Grant n° 503176), the Wellcome Trust (Grant n° 082604/2/07/Z) and German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF): Competence Network Dementia (CND) grant n° 01GI0102, 01GI0711, 01GI0420. CHARGE was partly supported by the NIH/NIA grant R01 AG033193 and the NIA AG081220 and AGES contract N01–AG–12100, the NHLBI grant R01 HL105756, the Icelandic Heart Association, and the Erasmus Medical Center and Erasmus University. ADGC was supported by the NIH/NIA grants: U01 AG032984, U24 AG021886, U01 AG016976, and the Alzheimer's Association grant ADGC–10–196728.This is the final version of the article. It first appeared from PLOS via http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.100184

Inflation and the Scale Dependent Spectral Index: Prospects and Strategies

We consider the running of the spectral index as a probe of both inflation itself, and of the overall evolution of the very early universe. Surveying a collection of simple single field inflationary models, we confirm that the magnitude of the running is relatively consistent, unlike the tensor amplitude, which varies by orders of magnitude. Given this target, we confirm that the running is potentially detectable by future large scale structure or 21 cm observations, but that only the most futuristic measurements can distinguish between these models on the basis of their running. For any specified inflationary scenario, the combination of the running index and unknown post-inflationary expansion history induces a theoretical uncertainty in the predicted value of the spectral index. This effect can easily dominate the statistical uncertainty with which Planck and its successors are expected to measure the spectral index. More positively, upcoming cosmological experiments thus provide an intriguing probe of physics between TeV and GUT scales by constraining the reheating history associated with any specified inflationary model, opening a window into the "primordial dark age" that follows the end of inflation.Comment: 32 pages. v2 and v3 Minor reference updates /clarification